Does ratification matter and do major conventions improve safety and decrease pollution in shipping?

We develop a method which measures the effect of the major international conventions in the area of safety, pollution, search and rescue and work related measures. We further distinguish between the effect of entry into force and the status of ratification of a convention by its parties. We use standard econometric models and base our analysis on a unique dataset of 30 years of monthly data where we correct for other factors which can influence safety such as safety inspections and ship economic cycles. The results show a complex picture where the average time between adoption and entry into force was calculated to be 3.1 years. Overall, the more parties ratify a convention, the more likely safety is improved and pollution is decreased although one can detect a certain level of non compliance. The immediate effect of entry into force presents a mixed picture where most negative effects can be found with legislation in the area of safety management and pollution, followed by technical areas. The effect of legislation in the areas related to working and living conditions and certification and training is smallest. Seasonality can be found with peaks in December and January for all conventions but are less important for pollution.

Comprehensive review of the maritime safety regimes.

This report presents a comprehensive review of the maritime safety regimes and provides recommendations on how to improve the system. The results show a complex legal framework which generates a high amount of inspections and overlapping of inspection areas where no cross-recognition is established by the various stakeholders. While the safety system seems to be successful in eliminating substandard vessels and while average insurance claims costs are substantially lower for inspected vessels than not inspected vessels, the results indicate that the economic conditions of the shipping market also have an effect on safety quality besides the frequency of inspections. No significant differences can be found between industry inspections and port state control inspections with respect to decreasing the probability of casualty. The system could be made more effective by combining data sources on inspections and use them respectively to improve risk profiling and to decrease the frequency of inspections performed on ship types such as tankers. The results further indicate a lack of proper implementation of the International Safety Management Code (ISM code) and conventions with reference to working and living conditions of crew (ILO 147). A revision of the ISM code and more emphasis on enforcement of ILO 147 could further enhance the level of safety at sea. The authors would like to thank several inspection regimes for their cooperation in providing inspection data and in allowing the observation of surveys and inspections on 26 vessels. In addition, the authors would like to acknowledge the data providers for the casualty data, Clarkson’s for the economic data as well as two P&I Clubs in making data on insurance claims available.

Econometric analysis of ship life cycles - are safety inspections effective?

Due to the shipping industry’s international legal framework and the existence of loopholes in the system, an estimated 5-10 percent of substandard ships exist which are more likely to have incidents with high economic cost. This article uses ship life cycles to provide insight into the effectiveness of inspections on prolonging ship lives. We account for fluctuations in the relevant economic environment and the (possible time-varying) ship particulars. We use a unique dataset containing information on the timing of accidents, inspections, ship particular changes of more than fifty thousand ships over a 29 year time period (1978-2007). The results of our duration analysis reveal that the shipping industry is a relative safe industry but there is a possible over-inspection of vessels. It also reveals the need to improve transparency related to class withdrawals and changes of classification of the vessel. Another interesting finding is that for the majority of ship types an increase in earnings decreases the incident rate. This is in contrast to the industry perception of the impact of earnings. The effect of inspections vary across ship types and the prevention of incidents with high economic costs can be improved by better coordination of inspections, data sharing and a decrease in the number of inspections . Further, more emphasis should be placed on the rectification and follow up of deficiencies.

Effect and Improvement Areas for Port State Control Inspections to Decrease the Probability of Casualty

This report is the fourth part of a PhD project called "The Econometrics of Maritime Safety – Recommendations to Enhance Safety at Sea" and is based on 183,000 port state control inspections and 11,700 casualties from various data sources. Its overall objective is to provide recommendations to improve safety at sea. The fourth part looks into measuring the effect of inspections on the probability of casualty on either seriousness or casualty first event to show the differences across the regimes. It further gives a link of casualties that were found during inspections with either the seriousness of casualties and casualty first events which reveals three areas of improvement possibilities to potentially decrease the probability of a casualty – the ISM code, machinery and equipment and ship and cargo operations.maritime safety;correspondence analysis;binary logistic regression;probability of casualty;improvement;Port State Control Effectiveness;casualty first events;detention;port state control deficiences;target factor

Evaluating Drought Vulnerability of Small Community Surface Water Supply Systems in the Midwest

This report presents approaches and data availability for evaluating the drought vulnerability of small community water supply systems in the Midwest that obtain water from surface water bodies, such as rivers, streams, natural lakes, and man-made reservoirs. A description is provided of the various types of surface water sources from which 320 small community systems in the Midwest, each serving 10,000 or fewer people, obtain their water. The small community surface water system most commonly obtains its supply from one or two small impounding reservoirs. However, a substantial number of communities instead obtain their water from either direct river withdrawals or off-channel storage of water withdrawn from streams and rivers. Sixty of these 320 small community surface water systems were interviewed to gather information on the availability of data to determine the drought vulnerability of these systems. Although hydrologic and physical data exist for evaluating many of these systems, relatively few of the interviewed system managers could provide such pertinent information. A summary of selected hydrologic data is provided that can be used to determine the relative severity of major historical drought periods for various portions of the Midwest. Focus is given to historical droughts and available data for the southern portion of the Midwest where most surface water supply systems are located, comprising parts of Kansas, Missouri, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. Geographic differences in drought severity are described, as is the influence of the physical characteristics of a water supply on the “critical” drought duration that a community must consider. Basic water budget analyses of water supplies and data needs are presented. Reservoir capacity measurements and estimates of inflow are the most critical data in reliable assessment of water supply adequacy. Depending on data availability, estimation of inflows may be straightforward to highly uncertain. For water supply systems that withdraw directly from a stream or river, the existence of long-term stream gage data on that river is particularly crucial to evaluate supply adequacy, and such data for larger streams and rivers are often available. With impounding reservoirs, which are typically located on smaller streams, data for that stream may often not exist; however, data from a “surrogate” gage that is considered to be hydrologically similar are often sufficient to estimate water supply yield. Systems that use off-channel reservoirs often withdraw water from smaller streams that do not have data for accurate depiction of their yield, and these systems also appear to be the most vulnerable to severe drought conditions. Case studies are presented to provide examples of yield calculations and innovative approaches that selected small communities have undertaken for addressing drought vulnerability. The role of demand management (drought response and water conservation) in evaluating drought vulnerability is also presented. If hydrologic data and basic physical data such as storage capacity are lacking, it may be difficult for either system managers or experienced professionals to estimate a community system’s yield and potential drought impacts, particularly for off-channel reservoir and low channel dam systems. However, managers should attempt to understand the type of drought period likely to test the adequacy of the available supply and can begin recording basic system observations, such as daily withdrawal records and reservoir drawdown, in a readily-accessible form that will be useful for future evaluations.published or submitted for publicationis peer reviewe

Transmission Infrared Spectra of CH_3-, CD_3-, and C_(10)H_(21)-Ge(111) Surfaces

The surface chemistry of CH_3–, CD_3–, and C_(10)H_(21)–Ge(111) surfaces prepared through a bromination/alkylation method have been investigated by infrared spectroscopy. Well-ordered CH_3–Ge(111) surfaces could be prepared only if, prior to bromination, the surface was etched with 6.0 M HCl or with a two-step etch of H_2O_2 (1.5 M)/HF (5.1 M) followed by a short HF (6.0 M) etch. The etching method used to make the Ge precursor surface, and the formation of a bromine-terminated intermediate Ge surface, were of critical importance to obtain clear, unambiguous infrared absorption peaks on the methyl-terminated Ge surfaces. Polarization-dependent absorption peaks observed at 1232 cm^(–1) for CH_3–Ge(111) surfaces and at 951 cm^(–1) for CD_3–Ge(111) surfaces were assigned to the methyl “umbrella” vibrational mode. A polarization-dependent peak at 2121 cm^(–1) for CD_3–Ge(111) surfaces was assigned to the symmetric methyl stretching mode. Polarization-independent absorption peaks at 755 cm^(–1) for CH_3–Ge(111) and at 577 cm^(–1) for CD_3–Ge(111) were assigned to the methyl rocking mode. These findings provide spectroscopic evidence that the methyl monolayer structure on the alkylated Ge is well-ordered and similar to that on analogous Si(111) surfaces, despite differences in the composition of the precursor surfaces. The X-ray photoelectron spectra of CH_3–Ge(111) surfaces, however, were not highly dependent upon the etching method and showed a constant C 1s:Ge 3d ratio, independent of the etching method. The infrared spectra of C_(10)H_(21)–Ge(111) surfaces were also not sensitive to the initial etching method. Hence, while the final packing density of the alkyl groups on the surface was similar for all etch methods studied, not all methods yielded a well-ordered Ge(111)/overlayer interface

Purposes, Uses, and Practices of Leadership Assessment in Education

Explores recent research literature dealing with personnel evaluations, professional learning, accountability, and the relation of leadership to learning, in order to clarify how leadership assessment practices impact student achievement

Chemical, Electronic, and Electrical Properties of Alkylated Ge(111) Surfaces

The use of Ge in semiconductor electronics has been constrained by the lack of a simple method of passivating the crystal surface. Toward that end, we have explored the utility of chemically bonded hydrocarbon monolayers. Alkylated Ge(111) surfaces have been prepared by addition of 1-alkenes to the H-terminated Ge(111) surface as well as by a two-step halogenation/alkylation procedure. The chemical compositions of the resulting methyl-, ethyl-, and decyl-terminated surfaces have been evaluated using X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS). Thermal addition of 1-decene produced hydrophobic surfaces with 0.3 ± 0.1 monolayer of Ge oxide detected by XPS, whereas no oxide was observed on the methyl-, ethyl-, or decyl-terminated surfaces that were prepared using the two-step halogenation/alkylation method. Methyl-terminated Ge(111) surfaces prepared by the two-step method displayed a well-resolved C 1s XPS peak at a binding energy of 284 eV, consistent with carbon bonded to a less electronegative element such as Ge. The electronic properties of all of the alkylated surfaces were characterized by measurements of the surface recombination velocity as a function of an externally applied gate voltage. Treatment of HF-etched Ge(111) surfaces with Br2 vapor, followed by reaction with alkylmagnesium or alkyllithium reagents, yielded air-stable surfaces that had surface recombination velocities of 100 cm s^(−1) or less under flat-band conditions. The field-dependent surface recombination velocity experiments indicated that, in contact with air, methyl-terminated n-type Ge(111) samples had a negative surface potential approaching 300 mV, in contrast to the oxidized Ge(111) surface, which exhibited a strongly positive surface potential under the same conditions. Mercury contacts to n-type methyl-, ethyl-, or decyl-terminated Ge(111) substrates that were alkylated using the two-step method formed rectifying junctions with barrier heights of 0.6 ± 0.1 eV, whereas no measurable rectification was observed for Hg contacts to p-type Ge(111) substrates that were alkylated by the two-step method, to n-type Ge(111) substrates that were alkylated through addition of 1-decene, or to oxidized n-type Ge(111) samples